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Red300
463886.1
394192.8
531031.1
Blue190
36989.9
542083.6
8738.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224219150200250300300190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3941
Unranked
92.80.0
92.892.8
Auto9.8
Teleop41.0
End42.0
red by 2.9
369
Unranked
89.90.0
89.989.9
Auto8.7
Teleop46.5
End34.6
Second
4638
Unranked
86.10.0
86.186.1
Auto13.9
Teleop39.3
End32.9
red by 2.5
5420
Unranked
83.60.0
83.683.6
Auto8.3
Teleop37.6
End37.7
Third
5310
Unranked
31.10.0
31.131.1
Auto1.8
Teleop24.8
End4.4
blue by 7.3
87
Unranked
38.40.0
38.438.4
Auto6.7
Teleop20.8
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor odds3%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds