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Red220
463783.9
450564.6
245894.5
Blue265
249575.9
53382.2
31698.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264262180200220240280300320340220265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2458
Unranked
94.50.0
94.594.5
Auto9.5
Teleop38.9
End46.2
blue by 4.3
316
Unranked
98.90.0
98.998.9
Auto9.0
Teleop46.4
End43.5
Second
4637
Unranked
83.90.0
83.983.9
Auto10.5
Teleop36.5
End36.9
red by 1.6
533
Unranked
82.20.0
82.282.2
Auto12.8
Teleop34.6
End34.8
Third
4505
Unranked
64.60.0
64.664.6
Auto10.4
Teleop34.6
End19.6
blue by 11.3
2495
Unranked
75.90.0
75.975.9
Auto9.6
Teleop33.5
End32.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor odds2%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds