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Red205
140362.3
74778.1
7583.6
Blue305
30385.0
25106.5
192358.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2332630100200300400500600205305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
#9
83.60.7
83.983.3
Auto7.8
Teleop39.4
End36.5
blue by 22.9
25
#2
106.51.5
104.9106.4
Auto13.1
Teleop44.5
End49.0
Second
747
#5
78.10.7
78.377.7
Auto4.6
Teleop25.3
End48.1
blue by 6.9
303
#22
85.01.3
83.584.8
Auto12.9
Teleop43.7
End28.4
Third
1403
#29
62.30.7
62.661.9
Auto4.2
Teleop35.9
End22.1
red by 4.1
1923
#23
58.11.3
56.758.0
Auto6.0
Teleop25.1
End27.0