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Red198
257754.1
55583.7
122836.0
Blue435
21973.9
1174.0
181155.2
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1772040100300400198435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#4
83.70.6
83.183.7
Auto10.8
Teleop33.1
End39.8
red by 9.7
11
#7
74.02.1
69.871.9
Auto7.3
Teleop26.8
End39.9
Second
2577
#25
54.10.6
53.554.1
Auto7.5
Teleop23.7
End22.9
blue by 19.8
219
#8
73.92.3
69.371.6
Auto10.6
Teleop40.1
End23.2
Third
1228
#27
36.00.6
35.436.0
Auto5.7
Teleop23.0
End7.3
blue by 19.3
1811
#30
55.22.1
51.153.2
Auto4.0
Teleop36.8
End14.5