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Red165
257754.1
55583.7
122836.0
Blue305
21973.9
1174.0
181155.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180194050100150250300350400165305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#4
83.70.2
83.383.1
Auto10.8
Teleop33.1
End39.8
red by 9.7
11
#7
74.02.7
67.169.8
Auto7.3
Teleop26.8
End39.9
Second
2577
#25
54.10.2
53.753.5
Auto7.5
Teleop23.7
End22.9
blue by 19.8
219
#8
73.93.0
66.369.3
Auto10.6
Teleop40.1
End23.2
Third
1228
#27
36.00.2
35.635.4
Auto5.7
Teleop23.0
End7.3
blue by 19.3
1811
#30
55.22.7
48.351.1
Auto4.0
Teleop36.8
End14.5