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Red321
192358.1
25106.5
30385.0
Blue235
436159.8
562444.8
19364.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2661570100200300400500321235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#2
106.52.1
102.0104.1
Auto13.1
Teleop44.5
End49.0
red by 42.2
193
#13
64.41.8
62.664.4
Auto5.5
Teleop35.9
End23.0
Second
303
#22
85.01.9
81.082.8
Auto12.9
Teleop43.7
End28.4
red by 25.2
4361
#21
59.81.8
58.159.8
Auto6.3
Teleop29.3
End24.2
Third
1923
#23
58.11.9
54.156.0
Auto6.0
Teleop25.1
End27.0
red by 13.4
5624
#10
44.81.6
43.244.8
Auto6.6
Teleop33.7
End4.6