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Red200
140362.3
74778.1
7583.6
Blue235
331461.9
127964.6
167242.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2321660100200300400500200235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
#9
83.60.4
79.378.9
Auto7.8
Teleop39.4
End36.5
red by 19.0
64.61.5
63.765.2
Auto5.7
Teleop34.8
End24.1
Second
747
#5
78.10.4
73.773.3
Auto4.6
Teleop25.3
End48.1
red by 16.2
3314
#20
61.91.5
60.962.4
Auto13.8
Teleop33.8
End14.2
Third
1403
#29
62.30.4
57.957.5
Auto4.2
Teleop35.9
End22.1
red by 19.4
1672
#28
42.91.9
41.743.6
Auto6.3
Teleop38.4
End-1.8