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Red313
192358.1
25106.5
30385.0
Blue280
21973.9
1174.0
181155.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2661970100300400500313280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#2
106.51.7
104.1105.8
Auto13.1
Teleop44.5
End49.0
red by 32.5
11
#7
74.01.3
71.973.2
Auto7.3
Teleop26.8
End39.9
Second
303
#22
85.01.6
82.884.4
Auto12.9
Teleop43.7
End28.4
red by 11.1
219
#8
73.91.4
71.673.1
Auto10.6
Teleop40.1
End23.2
Third
1923
#23
58.11.6
56.057.5
Auto6.0
Teleop25.1
End27.0
red by 2.9
1811
#30
55.21.3
53.254.5
Auto4.0
Teleop36.8
End14.5