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Red215
171288.3
19394.7
42365.4
Blue265
121869.2
192399.6
75114.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25530405001,0001,5002,0002,5003,000215265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#26
94.70.0
94.794.7
Auto8.3
Teleop52.7
End33.7
blue by 19.3
75
#9
114.10.0
114.1114.1
Auto13.9
Teleop55.6
End44.6
Second
1712
#21
88.30.0
88.388.3
Auto10.5
Teleop40.8
End37.0
blue by 11.3
1923
#22
99.60.0
99.699.6
Auto9.0
Teleop49.9
End40.7
Third
423
#27
65.40.0
65.465.4
Auto6.0
Teleop26.4
End33.0
blue by 3.8
69.20.0
69.269.2
Auto7.6
Teleop31.3
End30.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
8%Rotor odds38%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds