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Red130
80633.3
5895117.8
445472.6
Blue187
512355.4
1640102.4
1257111.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22729205001,0001,500130187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5895
#16
117.80.0
117.8117.8
Auto16.5
Teleop49.8
End51.5
red by 6.3
1257
#12
111.50.0
111.5111.5
Auto10.3
Teleop52.9
End48.2
Second
4454
#30
72.60.0
72.672.6
Auto10.5
Teleop26.6
End35.6
blue by 29.8
102.40.0
102.4102.4
Auto6.7
Teleop45.9
End49.8
Third
806
#8
33.30.0
33.333.3
Auto2.2
Teleop27.4
End3.6
blue by 22.1
5123
#18
55.40.0
55.455.4
Auto4.0
Teleop33.9
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor odds17%Rotor odds
Pressure
1%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds