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Red209
10285.5
331492.7
55595.8
Blue445
167699.0
1279102.3
22392.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293311100200400500209445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#7
95.81.5
97.395.8
Auto10.2
Teleop39.1
End46.5
blue by 6.6
102.31.2
101.9103.1
Auto9.4
Teleop50.9
End42.1
Second
92.71.5
94.292.7
Auto17.0
Teleop49.3
End26.4
blue by 6.3
1676
#16
99.01.2
98.599.7
Auto14.9
Teleop49.6
End34.5
Third
102
#15
85.51.5
87.185.5
Auto9.0
Teleop45.2
End31.3
blue by 6.5
223
#25
92.01.2
91.592.7
Auto11.8
Teleop41.2
End39.0