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Red195
201689.3
11101.9
222104.9
Blue305
463788.8
245886.1
1391101.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325285150200250350400450500195305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#10
104.92.4
107.0104.6
Auto12.2
Teleop51.3
End41.4
red by 3.8
1391
#12
101.00.7
100.6101.3
Auto10.1
Teleop50.8
End40.1
Second
11
#2
101.92.4
104.0101.6
Auto8.3
Teleop44.4
End49.1
red by 13.1
4637
#13
88.80.7
88.489.1
Auto11.7
Teleop36.1
End41.0
Third
2016
#26
89.32.4
91.489.0
Auto7.3
Teleop37.1
End44.8
red by 3.2
86.10.7
85.786.4
Auto7.1
Teleop40.5
End38.4