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Red314
140388.4
495491.7
56100.0
Blue257
463788.8
245886.1
1391101.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304290100200400500314257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#17
100.00.6
102.2102.8
Auto13.2
Teleop49.5
End37.4
blue by 1.0
1391
#12
101.00.4
101.2100.8
Auto10.1
Teleop50.8
End40.1
Second
91.70.6
93.994.5
Auto9.4
Teleop41.2
End41.1
red by 2.9
4637
#13
88.80.4
89.088.6
Auto11.7
Teleop36.1
End41.0
Third
1403
#24
88.40.6
90.691.2
Auto7.1
Teleop41.5
End39.9
red by 2.4
86.10.4
86.385.9
Auto7.1
Teleop40.5
End38.4