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Red265
140388.4
495491.7
56100.0
Blue288
463788.8
245886.1
1391101.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307288100150200250350400450265288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#17
100.00.5
102.8102.3
Auto13.2
Teleop49.5
End37.4
blue by 1.0
1391
#12
101.00.3
100.8101.1
Auto10.1
Teleop50.8
End40.1
Second
91.70.5
94.594.0
Auto9.4
Teleop41.2
End41.1
red by 2.9
4637
#13
88.80.3
88.688.8
Auto11.7
Teleop36.1
End41.0
Third
1403
#24
88.40.5
91.290.7
Auto7.1
Teleop41.5
End39.9
red by 2.4
86.10.3
85.986.1
Auto7.1
Teleop40.5
End38.4