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Red211
140388.4
495491.7
56100.0
Blue256
463788.8
245886.1
1391101.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305290150200250350400211256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#17
100.02.2
102.3100.0
Auto13.2
Teleop49.5
End37.4
blue by 1.0
1391
#12
101.00.4
101.1100.6
Auto10.1
Teleop50.8
End40.1
Second
91.72.2
94.091.7
Auto9.4
Teleop41.2
End41.1
red by 2.9
4637
#13
88.80.4
88.888.4
Auto11.7
Teleop36.1
End41.0
Third
1403
#24
88.42.2
90.788.4
Auto7.1
Teleop41.5
End39.9
red by 2.4
86.10.4
86.185.7
Auto7.1
Teleop40.5
End38.4