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Red261
225101.3
10285.5
26558.7
Blue235
192392.6
22392.0
495491.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions250321100200400500600261235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#6
101.30.9
102.5103.5
Auto16.1
Teleop51.5
End33.8
red by 8.8
1923
#34
92.65.7
99.093.3
Auto12.6
Teleop43.1
End36.9
Second
102
#15
85.50.9
86.587.5
Auto9.0
Teleop45.2
End31.3
blue by 6.5
223
#25
92.05.7
97.291.5
Auto11.8
Teleop41.2
End39.0
Third
265
#37
58.70.9
57.858.7
Auto5.3
Teleop27.8
End25.6
blue by 33.0
91.75.7
99.693.9
Auto9.4
Teleop41.2
End41.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed