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Red238
331492.7
566652.2
25105.9
Blue305
201689.3
249575.9
11101.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279274200250300350238305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#22
105.93.8
110.4106.6
Auto12.7
Teleop48.9
End44.3
red by 4.0
11
#2
101.92.9
100.5103.4
Auto8.3
Teleop44.4
End49.1
Second
92.73.8
98.594.7
Auto17.0
Teleop49.3
End26.4
red by 3.4
2016
#26
89.32.9
87.990.8
Auto7.3
Teleop37.1
End44.8
Third
5666
#31
52.23.8
56.052.2
Auto6.1
Teleop28.2
End18.0
blue by 23.7
2495
#35
75.92.9
73.075.9
Auto9.6
Teleop33.5
End32.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed