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Red269
272985.0
27297.8
164088.2
Blue335
108995.6
219181.0
121884.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288270100150200250350400450269335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#3
97.80.2
97.797.6
Auto8.9
Teleop45.3
End43.5
red by 2.1
1089
#17
95.61.0
94.995.9
Auto13.0
Teleop41.6
End41.1
Second
1640
#10
88.20.2
88.288.0
Auto6.8
Teleop46.6
End34.7
red by 4.0
1218
#19
84.21.0
83.584.5
Auto9.2
Teleop30.2
End44.8
Third
2729
#15
85.00.2
84.984.8
Auto5.7
Teleop36.6
End42.7
red by 4.0
2191
#11
81.01.0
80.281.3
Auto10.8
Teleop39.7
End30.5