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Red400
272985.0
27297.8
164088.2
Blue255
108995.6
219181.0
121884.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287274100200400500400255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#3
97.80.7
97.698.2
Auto8.9
Teleop45.3
End43.5
red by 2.1
1089
#17
95.60.1
95.995.7
Auto13.0
Teleop41.6
End41.1
Second
1640
#10
88.20.7
88.088.7
Auto6.8
Teleop46.6
End34.7
red by 4.0
1218
#19
84.20.1
84.584.3
Auto9.2
Teleop30.2
End44.8
Third
2729
#15
85.00.7
84.885.5
Auto5.7
Teleop36.6
End42.7
red by 4.0
2191
#11
81.00.1
81.381.1
Auto10.8
Teleop39.7
End30.5