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Red236
310270.4
375087.2
327574.3
Blue239
448063.2
4539104.7
462386.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2382810100200400500600700236239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.20.1
86.887.0
Auto8.5
Teleop47.1
End31.6
blue by 17.6
104.70.4
106.4105.9
Auto10.2
Teleop51.4
End43.1
Second
3275
#10
74.30.1
74.074.1
Auto6.0
Teleop32.5
End35.8
blue by 12.2
86.50.4
88.187.7
Auto16.1
Teleop34.5
End35.9
Third
3102
#11
70.40.1
70.070.2
Auto7.1
Teleop36.9
End26.3
red by 7.2
63.20.4
64.864.3
Auto4.4
Teleop38.2
End20.6