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Red205
462386.5
4539104.7
448063.2
Blue169
303657.4
3277106.9
645371.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284249100200400500205169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
104.71.3
107.6106.4
Auto10.2
Teleop51.4
End43.1
blue by 2.2
106.91.7
108.6106.9
Auto11.5
Teleop46.2
End49.3
Second
86.51.3
89.488.1
Auto16.1
Teleop34.5
End35.9
red by 15.4
71.11.7
72.871.1
Auto8.0
Teleop28.6
End34.6
Third
63.21.3
66.164.8
Auto4.4
Teleop38.2
End20.6
red by 5.8
57.41.7
59.157.4
Auto9.3
Teleop38.0
End10.1