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Red255
310270.4
375087.2
327574.3
Blue235
329469.7
876104.0
375451.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2512350400600800255235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.20.4
88.488.9
Auto8.5
Teleop47.1
End31.6
blue by 16.8
876
#4
104.00.3
103.5103.8
Auto11.7
Teleop49.4
End42.9
Second
3275
#10
74.30.4
75.676.0
Auto6.0
Teleop32.5
End35.8
red by 4.6
69.70.3
69.269.5
Auto4.1
Teleop29.8
End35.7
Third
3102
#11
70.40.4
71.672.1
Auto7.1
Teleop36.9
End26.3
red by 19.1
3754
#13
51.30.3
50.851.1
Auto2.7
Teleop26.9
End21.7