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Red206
310270.4
375087.2
327574.3
Blue255
329469.7
876104.0
375451.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2522350100200300400500600206255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.20.7
88.988.2
Auto8.5
Teleop47.1
End31.6
blue by 16.8
876
#4
104.00.7
103.8104.5
Auto11.7
Teleop49.4
End42.9
Second
3275
#10
74.30.7
76.075.3
Auto6.0
Teleop32.5
End35.8
red by 4.6
69.70.7
69.570.1
Auto4.1
Teleop29.8
End35.7
Third
3102
#11
70.40.7
72.171.4
Auto7.1
Teleop36.9
End26.3
red by 19.1
3754
#13
51.30.7
51.151.8
Auto2.7
Teleop26.9
End21.7