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Red275
310270.4
375087.2
327574.3
Blue205
329469.7
876104.0
375451.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2492380100200300400500275205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.21.3
88.286.8
Auto8.5
Teleop47.1
End31.6
blue by 16.8
876
#4
104.00.5
104.5104.0
Auto11.7
Teleop49.4
End42.9
Second
3275
#10
74.31.3
75.374.0
Auto6.0
Teleop32.5
End35.8
red by 4.6
69.70.5
70.169.7
Auto4.1
Teleop29.8
End35.7
Third
3102
#11
70.41.3
71.470.0
Auto7.1
Teleop36.9
End26.3
red by 19.1
3754
#13
51.30.5
51.851.3
Auto2.7
Teleop26.9
End21.7