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Red300
349571.2
84299.9
582398.0
Blue330
542976.9
148121.7
643658.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2732320100200400500600300330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#19
99.93.1
93.896.9
Auto14.3
Teleop43.3
End42.3
blue by 21.8
148
#3
121.75.0
114.4119.3
Auto20.8
Teleop54.0
End47.0
Second
5823
#18
98.03.1
88.891.9
Auto9.9
Teleop40.5
End47.5
red by 21.0
5429
#27
76.95.0
59.464.4
Auto12.3
Teleop38.0
End26.6
Third
3495
#43
71.23.1
71.374.4
Auto7.7
Teleop31.5
End32.0
red by 12.4
6436
#42
58.88.3
51.860.1
Auto5.0
Teleop21.2
End32.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed