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Red330
420191.2
450195.3
585180.1
Blue285
300969.0
501290.2
651970.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24922204006008001,0001,2001,400330285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.34.8
83.788.5
Auto8.8
Teleop40.3
End46.2
red by 5.1
5012
#32
90.24.7
87.592.2
Auto9.0
Teleop37.2
End44.0
Second
4201
#33
91.24.8
83.988.7
Auto11.7
Teleop37.6
End41.8
red by 21.2
6519
#21
70.07.9
58.165.9
Auto6.2
Teleop27.6
End36.2
Third
5851
#25
80.14.8
65.670.4
Auto12.3
Teleop42.0
End25.8
red by 11.1
3009
#44
69.04.7
68.873.5
Auto5.5
Teleop36.8
End26.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed