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Red165
559948.6
594374.8
512355.4
Blue285
286985.0
33398.2
80633.3
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18123804006008001,0001,200165285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.80.0
74.874.8
Auto4.4
Teleop35.9
End34.5
blue by 23.4
333
#9
98.20.0
98.298.2
Auto11.3
Teleop43.4
End43.5
Second
5123
#13
55.40.0
55.455.4
Auto4.0
Teleop33.9
End17.5
blue by 29.6
85.00.0
85.085.0
Auto4.5
Teleop42.6
End37.9
Third
48.60.0
48.648.6
Auto7.4
Teleop29.2
End12.1
red by 15.3
806
#8
33.30.0
33.333.3
Auto2.2
Teleop27.4
End3.6