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Red140
4122B44.2
999956.6
659060.6
Blue265
559948.6
594374.8
512355.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16719205001,0001,5002,0002,5003,000140265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6590
#10
60.60.0
60.660.6
Auto10.3
Teleop26.8
End23.5
blue by 14.3
74.80.0
74.874.8
Auto4.4
Teleop35.9
End34.5
Second
9999
#15
56.60.0
56.656.6
Auto6.3
Teleop26.6
End23.7
red by 1.2
5123
#13
55.40.0
55.455.4
Auto4.0
Teleop33.9
End17.5
Third
44.20.0
44.244.2
Auto5.4
Teleop17.8
End21.0
blue by 4.4
48.60.0
48.648.6
Auto7.4
Teleop29.2
End12.1