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Red285
32993.3
26391.5
115699.3
Blue244
509969.0
163581.1
27183.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3112320100200400500600285244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
#12
99.30.0
99.399.3
Auto13.3
Teleop40.1
End45.9
red by 16.1
271
#28
83.20.3
82.382.6
Auto3.4
Teleop36.1
End43.7
Second
329
#15
93.30.0
93.493.4
Auto11.7
Teleop38.5
End43.2
red by 12.3
81.10.3
80.280.5
Auto8.5
Teleop34.4
End38.2
Third
263
#1
91.50.0
91.691.6
Auto4.8
Teleop41.8
End44.9
red by 22.5
5099
#20
69.00.4
67.968.3
Auto8.0
Teleop27.0
End34.0