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Red259
32993.3
26391.5
115699.3
Blue305
501697.7
456777.3
51487.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3062590100200400500600700259305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
#12
99.30.6
99.498.8
Auto13.3
Teleop40.1
End45.9
red by 1.5
5016
#25
97.71.2
94.695.8
Auto11.6
Teleop43.9
End42.2
Second
329
#15
93.30.6
93.492.9
Auto11.7
Teleop38.5
End43.2
red by 6.1
514
#10
87.21.2
84.185.2
Auto7.3
Teleop41.8
End38.1
Third
263
#1
91.50.6
91.691.1
Auto4.8
Teleop41.8
End44.9
red by 14.3
77.31.4
73.474.9
Auto9.4
Teleop42.5
End25.4