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Red398
445891.5
1796107.2
5254108.4
Blue475
501697.7
456777.3
51487.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3432450100200300400500600700398475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5254
#14
108.40.2
108.6108.4
Auto12.2
Teleop51.1
End45.1
red by 10.6
5016
#25
97.72.2
92.494.6
Auto11.6
Teleop43.9
End42.2
Second
107.20.2
107.4107.2
Auto13.9
Teleop59.6
End33.6
red by 20.0
514
#10
87.22.2
81.884.1
Auto7.3
Teleop41.8
End38.1
Third
4458
#21
91.50.2
91.891.5
Auto8.5
Teleop47.1
End36.0
red by 14.3
77.32.7
70.773.4
Auto9.4
Teleop42.5
End25.4