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Red306
52784.3
5736105.5
3624104.4
Blue285
260185.7
4122104.6
317191.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3132940100200400500600700306285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.50.3
105.5105.8
Auto9.3
Teleop38.3
End57.9
red by 0.9
104.60.1
104.5104.6
Auto8.0
Teleop39.3
End57.3
Second
3624
#24
104.40.3
104.4104.7
Auto15.3
Teleop46.2
End42.9
red by 13.0
3171
#16
91.40.1
91.391.4
Auto10.4
Teleop39.8
End41.2
Third
527
#52
84.30.3
84.384.6
Auto6.8
Teleop42.8
End34.7
blue by 1.3
2601
#40
85.70.1
85.685.7
Auto9.1
Teleop45.1
End31.5