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Red280
60182.5
2875109.8
263889.9
Blue445
260185.7
4122104.6
317191.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3042920100200400500600700280445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
109.80.7
111.1110.4
Auto12.9
Teleop42.7
End54.2
red by 5.2
104.61.5
103.6105.1
Auto8.0
Teleop39.3
End57.3
Second
2638
#13
89.90.7
91.290.5
Auto10.9
Teleop41.1
End37.9
blue by 1.5
3171
#16
91.41.5
90.591.9
Auto10.4
Teleop39.8
End41.2
Third
601
#35
82.50.9
84.283.3
Auto10.8
Teleop34.8
End37.0
blue by 3.1
2601
#40
85.71.5
84.786.2
Auto9.1
Teleop45.1
End31.5