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Red255
60182.5
2875109.8
263889.9
Blue341
260185.7
4122104.6
317191.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297302220240260280320340360380255341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
109.80.7
110.4109.8
Auto12.9
Teleop42.7
End54.2
red by 5.2
104.60.5
105.1105.6
Auto8.0
Teleop39.3
End57.3
Second
2638
#13
89.90.7
90.589.9
Auto10.9
Teleop41.1
End37.9
blue by 1.5
3171
#16
91.40.5
91.992.5
Auto10.4
Teleop39.8
End41.2
Third
601
#35
82.50.8
83.382.5
Auto10.8
Teleop34.8
End37.0
blue by 3.1
2601
#40
85.70.5
86.286.7
Auto9.1
Teleop45.1
End31.5