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Red250
457172.6
69499.5
33387.5
Blue264
234469.8
257978.5
503080.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293228100200400500250264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#3
99.50.4
102.8102.4
Auto13.3
Teleop58.4
End27.8
red by 19.0
5030
#31
80.50.3
79.379.7
Auto7.5
Teleop40.9
End32.1
Second
333
#8
87.50.4
90.790.3
Auto11.4
Teleop40.9
End35.1
red by 8.9
2579
#11
78.50.4
77.177.5
Auto5.2
Teleop35.0
End38.3
Third
4571
#40
72.60.4
75.975.5
Auto6.9
Teleop31.4
End34.3
red by 2.9
2344
#18
69.80.4
68.468.8
Auto8.4
Teleop32.9
End28.6