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Red420
457172.6
69499.5
33387.5
Blue273
234469.8
257978.5
503080.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292230100200400500420273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#3
99.50.6
102.4103.0
Auto13.3
Teleop58.4
End27.8
red by 19.0
5030
#31
80.50.8
79.780.5
Auto7.5
Teleop40.9
End32.1
Second
333
#8
87.50.6
90.390.9
Auto11.4
Teleop40.9
End35.1
red by 8.9
2579
#11
78.51.0
77.578.5
Auto5.2
Teleop35.0
End38.3
Third
4571
#40
72.60.6
75.576.1
Auto6.9
Teleop31.4
End34.3
red by 2.9
2344
#18
69.81.0
68.869.8
Auto8.4
Teleop32.9
End28.6