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Red258
33462.0
2265100.6
1155101.8
Blue210
36996.5
125182.0
39564.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2912500100200400500600258210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.81.4
103.8102.4
Auto11.0
Teleop37.5
End53.3
red by 5.3
369
#10
96.51.3
96.395.0
Auto7.4
Teleop52.9
End36.2
Second
100.61.4
102.6101.2
Auto13.9
Teleop42.8
End43.9
red by 18.6
82.01.3
81.880.5
Auto6.1
Teleop39.4
End36.5
Third
334
#19
62.01.7
64.462.7
Auto7.6
Teleop34.8
End19.6
blue by 2.2
395
#30
64.21.3
63.962.6
Auto5.1
Teleop35.2
End23.9