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Red316
589177.1
4613118.4
3419106.0
Blue313
238390.6
2791108.6
188090.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33229902004006008001,0001,2001,400316313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118.40.3
118.5118.8
Auto22.7
Teleop47.5
End48.2
red by 9.8
108.60.6
108.0108.6
Auto12.2
Teleop50.7
End45.7
Second
106.00.3
106.1106.4
Auto10.9
Teleop53.3
End41.7
red by 15.3
2383
#17
90.60.6
90.190.6
Auto10.7
Teleop47.4
End32.6
Third
5891
#29
77.10.4
77.377.6
Auto5.1
Teleop29.3
End42.7
blue by 13.1
1880
#28
90.20.6
89.690.2
Auto9.3
Teleop40.2
End40.7