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Red95
641567.2
452862.0
166082.6
Blue335
238390.6
2791108.6
188090.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22530710040050060095335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1660
#14
82.62.9
86.183.2
Auto11.5
Teleop36.3
End34.7
blue by 26.0
108.60.7
105.5106.2
Auto12.2
Teleop50.7
End45.7
Second
6415
#16
67.23.5
71.568.0
Auto6.9
Teleop31.4
End28.8
blue by 23.5
2383
#17
90.60.7
87.688.3
Auto10.7
Teleop47.4
End32.6
Third
62.03.5
66.362.8
Auto7.4
Teleop39.5
End15.2
blue by 28.2
1880
#28
90.20.7
87.287.8
Auto9.3
Teleop40.2
End40.7