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Red260
457172.6
69499.5
33387.5
Blue313
1155101.8
2265100.6
33462.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286281200250300350260313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#3
99.50.8
103.0102.2
Auto13.3
Teleop58.4
End27.8
blue by 2.3
101.80.9
102.6103.5
Auto11.0
Teleop37.5
End53.3
Second
333
#8
87.50.8
90.990.1
Auto11.4
Teleop40.9
End35.1
blue by 13.2
100.60.9
101.4102.3
Auto13.9
Teleop42.8
End43.9
Third
4571
#40
72.60.8
76.175.3
Auto6.9
Teleop31.4
End34.3
red by 10.6
334
#19
62.01.1
62.964.0
Auto7.6
Teleop34.8
End19.6