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Red205
27168.7
1507118.5
34099.7
Blue315
3015107.3
19190.5
379988.1
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3112920100200400500600700205315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118.52.4
120.3117.9
Auto12.8
Teleop44.6
End61.0
red by 11.2
107.31.0
105.3106.2
Auto14.4
Teleop46.0
End46.9
Second
340
#11
99.72.4
101.599.2
Auto12.1
Teleop52.9
End34.7
red by 9.2
191
#2
90.51.0
88.589.5
Auto11.3
Teleop34.2
End45.1
Third
271
#38
68.72.4
70.568.1
Auto6.0
Teleop29.0
End33.6
blue by 19.5
3799
#28
88.11.0
85.987.0
Auto9.2
Teleop37.4
End41.5