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Quarterfinal 4-22017 Finger Lakes Regional
Red233
37850.9
395166.0
140594.1
Blue245
525483.4
649077.0
383878.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21624950100150300350400233245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1405
#15
94.10.6
93.5→94.1
Auto7.7
Teleop43.9
End42.5
red by 10.8
5254
#29
83.40.4
80.9→81.3
Auto8.4
Teleop37.9
End37.1
Second
3951
#3
66.00.6
65.3→66.0
Auto9.3
Teleop37.0
End19.7
blue by 12.4
3838
#17
78.40.4
76.1→76.5
Auto11.0
Teleop32.2
End35.1
Third
378
#34
50.90.6
50.3→50.9
Auto4.7
Teleop27.5
End18.8
blue by 26.1
6490
#7
77.00.4
74.8→75.1
Auto5.5
Teleop39.7
End31.9