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Red230
594767.4
379988.1
155997.7
Blue300
57890.3
19190.5
234073.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26424304006008001,0001,200230300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1559
#18
97.71.2
97.496.1
Auto9.0
Teleop46.6
End42.0
red by 7.1
191
#2
90.52.8
80.483.2
Auto11.3
Teleop34.2
End45.1
Second
3799
#28
88.11.8
81.980.2
Auto9.2
Teleop37.4
End41.5
blue by 2.2
578
#14
90.33.0
82.685.7
Auto13.9
Teleop36.7
End39.7
Third
5947
#30
67.41.8
69.167.4
Auto5.1
Teleop25.3
End36.9
blue by 6.0
2340
#21
73.43.0
70.373.4
Auto8.3
Teleop32.2
End32.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed