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Red130
158542.7
319343.2
580655.6
Blue192
151170.4
112679.2
493064.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1412310100200300400130192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5806
#37
55.61.6
57.255.6
Auto10.5
Teleop31.5
End13.6
blue by 23.5
79.21.5
79.478.0
Auto6.7
Teleop30.3
End42.3
Second
3193
#45DQ
43.21.7
44.943.2
Auto4.2
Teleop34.9
End4.1
blue by 27.2
1511
#47
70.41.5
66.364.8
Auto9.7
Teleop40.0
End20.8
Third
1585
#36
42.71.4
44.142.7
Auto1.9
Teleop31.0
End9.7
blue by 21.7
4930
#26
64.41.5
61.660.1
Auto6.1
Teleop30.4
End27.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed