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Semifinal 1-22017 Finger Lakes Regional
Red305
27168.7
1507118.5
34099.7
Blue293
87096.8
503079.1
151170.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317244100200400500600305293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1507
#1
118.50.4
119.9→120.3
Auto12.8
Teleop44.6
End61.0
red by 21.7
870
#12
96.81.5
95.3→96.8
Auto12.9
Teleop41.7
End42.2
Second
340
#11
99.70.4
101.1→101.5
Auto12.1
Teleop52.9
End34.7
red by 20.6
5030
#4
79.11.4
77.7→79.1
Auto7.7
Teleop32.9
End38.5
Third
271
#38
68.70.4
70.1→70.5
Auto6.0
Teleop29.0
End33.6
blue by 1.7
1511
#47
70.41.4
69.0→70.4
Auto9.7
Teleop40.0
End20.8