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Red266
151170.4
503079.1
87096.8
Blue243
57890.3
112679.2
155997.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2372920100200400500600266243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#12
96.81.0
91.992.9
Auto12.9
Teleop41.7
End42.2
blue by 0.9
1559
#18
97.70.6
98.497.8
Auto9.0
Teleop46.6
End42.0
Second
79.10.9
74.675.6
Auto7.7
Teleop32.9
End38.5
blue by 11.2
578
#14
90.30.7
91.390.6
Auto13.9
Teleop36.7
End39.7
Third
1511
#47
70.40.9
65.966.9
Auto9.7
Teleop40.0
End20.8
blue by 8.7
79.20.7
80.179.4
Auto6.7
Teleop30.3
End42.3