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Red317
379988.1
19190.5
3015107.3
Blue310
525483.4
649077.0
383878.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296237100200400500317310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.31.2
102.9104.1
Auto14.4
Teleop46.0
End46.9
red by 23.9
5254
#29
83.41.5
81.382.8
Auto8.4
Teleop37.9
End37.1
Second
191
#2
90.51.2
86.187.3
Auto11.3
Teleop34.2
End45.1
red by 12.1
3838
#17
78.41.4
76.577.9
Auto11.0
Teleop32.2
End35.1
Third
3799
#28
88.11.3
83.384.7
Auto9.2
Teleop37.4
End41.5
red by 11.1
77.01.4
75.176.6
Auto5.5
Teleop39.7
End31.9