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Red275
234091.0
503090.3
300380.3
Blue150
317365.2
578101.9
560687.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277267150200250300350400450275150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2340
#15
91.00.0
91.091.0
Auto12.2
Teleop42.1
End36.6
blue by 10.9
578
#39
101.90.0
101.9101.9
Auto15.2
Teleop46.9
End39.8
Second
5030
#37
90.30.0
90.390.3
Auto10.6
Teleop37.6
End42.1
red by 2.8
5606
#28
87.50.0
87.587.5
Auto9.6
Teleop35.6
End42.3
Third
80.30.0
80.380.3
Auto11.7
Teleop39.4
End29.1
red by 15.1
3173
#34
65.20.0
65.265.2
Auto11.4
Teleop37.6
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor odds0%Rotor odds
Pressure
1%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds