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Red205
1360112.3
37875.3
1507119.6
Blue152
493078.7
279191.9
3015111.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3282920100200400500600205152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
119.60.0
119.6119.6
Auto14.7
Teleop47.8
End57.1
red by 8.0
3015
#22
111.60.0
111.6111.6
Auto18.2
Teleop44.8
End48.6
Second
1360
#10
112.30.0
112.3112.3
Auto14.2
Teleop51.2
End46.9
red by 20.4
2791
#13
91.90.0
91.991.9
Auto12.5
Teleop49.9
End29.5
Third
378
#11
75.30.0
75.375.3
Auto6.7
Teleop36.9
End31.7
blue by 3.4
78.70.0
78.778.7
Auto7.9
Teleop35.9
End34.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor odds4%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds4%Pressure odds