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Red235
640162.5
25097.1
179697.2
Blue271
36992.9
260180.8
63983.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281253100200400500235271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1796
#13
97.20.7
99.098.3
Auto11.6
Teleop59.2
End26.5
red by 4.4
369
#36
92.90.1
88.388.3
Auto10.3
Teleop44.9
End37.7
Second
250
#1
97.10.6
98.597.9
Auto8.9
Teleop45.4
End42.7
red by 13.9
639
#15
83.20.0
79.479.5
Auto9.6
Teleop40.4
End33.2
Third
6401
#21
62.50.7
64.363.6
Auto7.6
Teleop29.4
End25.5
blue by 18.3
2601
#10
80.80.1
76.276.2
Auto6.5
Teleop37.0
End37.4